Liverpool vs Everton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liverpool v Everton — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool vs Everton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Everton
İNP
2-0
HT 1-0
Everton
İNP
0-0
HT 0-0
Liverpool
İNP
Liverpool 2-1 Everton — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool nicked a narrow win over Everton 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Liverpool had 57% of the ball to Everton's 43%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.90 to 0.70.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Liverpool and 0.67 for Everton.
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Everton?
Liverpool 2-1 Everton in the England - Premier League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Everton?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 62%, draw 19%, Everton 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.