Fulham 3-1 Brentford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
16.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Brentford EU Bookmakers 31%
+10% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +17%
1.48/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.23
+10% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
25.1 Crosses 17.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fulham
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Brentford
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.11 xG 1.96
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
403 Passes 283
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 27
24 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 Brentford Brentford 2-3 HT 2-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
04.11.2024 Fulham Fulham 2-1 HT 0-1 Brentford Brentford İNP
04.05.2024 Brentford Brentford 0-0 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
19.08.2023 Fulham Fulham 0-3 HT 0-1 Brentford Brentford İNP
23.07.2023 Fulham Fulham 3-2 HT 2-1 Brentford Brentford HAZPL
06.03.2023 Brentford Brentford 3-2 HT 1-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham
3-1
AWAY Brentford
1.01 xG 0.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 10
382 Passes 324
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fulham vs Brentford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham beat Brentford 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fulham as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Fulham had 53% of the ball to Brentford's 47%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.01 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fulham had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fulham and 1.83 for Brentford.

What was the final score of Fulham vs Brentford?

Fulham 3-1 Brentford in the England - Premier League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fulham vs Brentford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fulham 42%, draw 26%, Brentford 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fulham), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fulham) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
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