West Ham United vs Crystal Palace Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
West Ham United v Crystal Palace — Team-Based Signals
West Ham United vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Crystal Palace
İNP
4-3
HT 3-2
West Ham United
İNP
West Ham United 1-2 Crystal Palace — Actual Match Statistics
Crystal Palace edged past West Ham United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Crystal Palace as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, West Ham United had 57% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 43%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.62 to 2.31 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Crystal Palace's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crystal Palace led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for West Ham United and 2.50 for Crystal Palace.
What was the final score of West Ham United vs Crystal Palace?
West Ham United 1-2 Crystal Palace in the England - Premier League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Crystal Palace?
Before kick-off our model rated an Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 30%, draw 23%, Crystal Palace 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crystal Palace), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.