Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hamrun Spartans v Naxxar Lions — Team-Based Signals
Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-2
Hamrun Spartans
MLTP
Hamrun Spartans ran out comfortable winners over Naxxar Lions 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.83 goals for Hamrun Spartans and 0.33 for Naxxar Lions.
What was the final score of Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions?
Hamrun Spartans 3-0 Naxxar Lions in the MALTP on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 66%, draw 22%, Naxxar Lions 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.