Marsaxlokk FC 2-1 Gzira United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.1pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.9pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Gzira United EU Bookmakers 26%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.88/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.48
+30% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +129% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gzira United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.01.2026 Gzira United Gzira United 3-0 HT 2-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MALTP
17.09.2025 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
21.02.2025 Gzira United Gzira United 0-1 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MALTP
08.12.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 0-0 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
18.08.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
18.08.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 0-1 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
POST-MATCH Marsaxlokk FC vs Gzira United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsaxlokk FC edged past Gzira United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Marsaxlokk FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marsaxlokk FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Marsaxlokk FC and 0.67 for Gzira United.

What was the final score of Marsaxlokk FC vs Gzira United?

Marsaxlokk FC 2-1 Gzira United in the MALTP on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsaxlokk FC vs Gzira United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marsaxlokk FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 45%, draw 32%, Gzira United 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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