Leones Negros Udeg 1-2 Cancun FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
27%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+4.4pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.1pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+10.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-10.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 30%
+14% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +7%
1.93/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.57
+20% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cancun FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Cancun FC Cancun FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
23.02.2025 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
08.09.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
10.02.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-0 HT 2-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
06.10.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
12.01.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
1-2
AWAY Cancun FC
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leones Negros Udeg vs Cancun FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cancun FC nicked a narrow win over Leones Negros Udeg 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Leones Negros Udeg at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leones Negros Udeg had 54% of the ball to Cancun FC's 46%, shots finished 18-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 0.67 for Cancun FC.

What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs Cancun FC?

Leones Negros Udeg 1-2 Cancun FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs Cancun FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 52%, draw 21%, Cancun FC 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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