Tlaxcala 2-2 Venados — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.23
Over 2.5
65%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.61
No
38%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.5pp
35%
Under 2.5
41%
-5.6pp
65%
Over 2.5
59%
+5.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
58%
+4.2pp
38%
BTTS No
42%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Venados EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
1.97/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.78
+9% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tlaxcala
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Venados
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
07.11.2025 Venados Venados 5-1 HT 3-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
12.04.2025 Venados Venados 2-1 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
27.10.2024 Tlaxcala 1-1 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
22.02.2024 Tlaxcala 1-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
22.07.2023 Venados Venados 3-1 HT 1-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
28.04.2023 Tlaxcala 2-0 HT 1-0 Venados Venados MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tlaxcala
2-2
AWAY Venados
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tlaxcala vs Venados
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tlaxcala and Venados couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tlaxcala at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tlaxcala had 57% of the ball to Venados's 43%, shots finished 15-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venados led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tlaxcala and 1.83 for Venados.

What was the final score of Tlaxcala vs Venados?

Tlaxcala 2-2 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tlaxcala vs Venados?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tlaxcala win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tlaxcala 48%, draw 26%, Venados 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tlaxcala) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tlaxcala) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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