Kasımpaşa 1-0 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.5
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.37
6+ Goals
9%
23.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.64
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
22%
5.25
X/2
13%
5.89
X/X
13%
3.87
2/1
10%
31.5
2/2
16%
4.36
2/X
4%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.3pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.9pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.62/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.13
+18% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
21.4 Crosses 17.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kasımpaşa
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Alanyaspor
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.71 xG 1.34
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
298 Passes 414
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2025 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-2 HT 1-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
15.03.2025 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-1 HT 2-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
20.10.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-2 HT 0-2 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
04.02.2024 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-1 HT 1-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
17.09.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-3 HT 2-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
30.05.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-3 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kasımpaşa
1-0
AWAY Alanyaspor
0.60 xG 0.22
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
324 Passes 425
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kasımpaşa edged past Alanyaspor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kasımpaşa as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Kasımpaşa had 45% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 55%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.60 to 0.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Kasımpaşa and 1.33 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor?

Kasımpaşa 1-0 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kasımpaşa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 43%, draw 24%, Alanyaspor 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kasımpaşa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kasımpaşa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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