Samsunspor 2-1 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
2.8
6+ Goals
9%
7.96
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.34 — our 30% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.33
1/2
7%
22.65
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
10%
6.8
X/2
14%
5.34
X/X
10%
5.34
2/1
5%
28.0
2/2
23%
2.97
2/X
7%
12.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.5pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 46%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.56/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.13
+35% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +0%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
15.9 Crosses 19.3
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Beşiktaş
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.08 xG 1.54
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
254 Passes 370
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2025 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-1 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
18.01.2025 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
11.08.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-2 HT 0-2 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
13.04.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-1 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
26.11.2023 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
01.04.2012 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0-1 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
2-1
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.08 xG 1.43
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
392 Passes 412
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samsunspor nicked a narrow win over Beşiktaş 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Beşiktaş at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Samsunspor had 49% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 51%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.08 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Samsunspor and 1.00 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Beşiktaş?

Samsunspor 2-1 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Super League on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 32%, draw 25%, Beşiktaş 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
19 Apr 2026
14:30 Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor Analysis →
20:00 Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir FK Analysis →