Barcelona 3-0 Rayo Vallecano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
76%
1.34
Draw
15%
4.81
Away
9%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
2.51
Over
66%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.74
No
47%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
15%
5.56
2-3
43%
2.02
4-5
31%
2.64
6+
11%
6.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1.57
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
3%
20.0
X/1
21%
3.64
X/2
4%
16.75
X/X
8%
8.0
2/1
3%
20.3
2/2
5%
12.05
2/X
3%
20.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.3 — our 3% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Barcelona The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Vallecano The Market 16%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.66 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.76
0.86 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.18
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Average
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
469 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
38 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.92 xG 0.71
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
498 Passes 193
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
34 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
25.11.2023 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-1 HT 1-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
26.04.2023 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 2-1 HT 1-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
13.08.2022 Barcelona Barcelona 0-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
24.04.2022 Barcelona Barcelona 0-1 HT 0-1 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
27.10.2021 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-0 HT 1-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
27.01.2021 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-2 HT 0-0 Barcelona Barcelona İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona
3 - 0
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
1.26 xG 1.28
72% Ball Possession 28%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
578 Passes 178
91% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Barcelona swept aside Rayo Vallecano 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (66%) landed.

On the day, Barcelona had 72% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 28%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.26 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rayo Vallecano led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Barcelona and 1.00 for Rayo Vallecano.

Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano Result & Final Score

Barcelona 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Barcelona 76%, draw 15%, Rayo Vallecano 10%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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