Hamburg vs Nürnberg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hamburg v Nürnberg — Team-Based Signals
Hamburg vs Nürnberg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Hamburg
AL2
3-0
HT 1-0
Nürnberg
AL2
0-2
HT 0-1
Hamburg
AL2
2-1
HT 1-1
Hamburg
AL2
1-1
HT 0-1
Hamburg
AFK
2-2
HT 1-1
Nürnberg
AL2
Hamburg 4-1 Nürnberg — Actual Match Statistics
Hamburg swept aside Nürnberg 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hamburg as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Hamburg had 58% of the ball to Nürnberg's 42%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 3.76 to 1.44.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hamburg and 0.83 for Nürnberg.
What was the final score of Hamburg vs Nürnberg?
Hamburg 4-1 Nürnberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hamburg vs Nürnberg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Hamburg 58%, draw 20%, Nürnberg 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.