Al Gharafa vs Umm Salal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Al Gharafa v Umm Salal — Team-Based Signals
Al Gharafa vs Umm Salal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Al Gharafa 4-2 Umm Salal — Actual Match Statistics
Al Gharafa took care of Umm Salal 4-2. Half-time: 3-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Gharafa as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%) came home.
Under the surface, possession split 63% to 37% in Al Gharafa's favour, shots finished 27-9, expected goals 4.09 to 0.61.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Gharafa had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Al Gharafa against 1.67 for Umm Salal.
Al Gharafa vs Umm Salal Result & Final Score
Al Gharafa 4 - 2 Umm Salal in the KATEK on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Al Gharafa vs Umm Salal Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 64%, draw 20%, Umm Salal 17%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Gharafa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.