Riga FC 2-0 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 19 May 2025

📅19/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.27
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
21%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
74%
-18.8pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.2pp
21%
Away Win
10%
+11.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +7%
2.70/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.14
+13% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +15%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
457 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 78%
44.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
31.4 Crosses 12.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Liepaja
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.60 xG 0.71
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
488 Passes 260
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
36 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 2-5 HT 2-3 Riga FC Riga FC LET
29.09.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
07.07.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 0-3 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
14.05.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 1-1 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
04.04.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
25.09.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
2-0
AWAY Liepaja
2.38 xG 0.76
52% Ball Possession 48%
26 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
270 Passes 255
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
41 Box Touches 24
32 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs Liepaja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC got the better of Liepaja 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Riga FC had 52% of the ball to Liepaja's 48%, shots finished 26-11, expected goals 2.38 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Riga FC and 0.67 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs Liepaja?

Riga FC 2-0 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 56%, draw 23%, Liepaja 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✗ Over 2.5
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