Bournemouth vs Manchester City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bournemouth v Manchester City — Team-Based Signals
Bournemouth vs Manchester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
6-1
HT 3-0
Bournemouth
İNP
Bournemouth 1-1 Manchester City — Actual Match Statistics
Bournemouth and Manchester City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Manchester City at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.
On the day, Bournemouth had 46% of the ball to Manchester City's 54%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 2.25 to 1.48.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bournemouth and 2.67 for Manchester City.
What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Manchester City?
Bournemouth 1-1 Manchester City in the England - Premier League on 19/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Manchester City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 27%, draw 21%, Manchester City 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester City), Over 2.5 went the other way.