Chelsea vs Tottenham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chelsea v Tottenham — Team-Based Signals
Chelsea vs Tottenham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 1-1
Chelsea
İNP
2-0
HT 0-0
Chelsea
İNP
Chelsea 2-1 Tottenham — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea squeezed past Tottenham 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Chelsea had 44% of the ball to Tottenham's 56%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.63 to 1.27 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tottenham.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chelsea and 1.00 for Tottenham.
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Tottenham?
Chelsea 2-1 Tottenham in the England - Premier League on 19/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chelsea vs Tottenham?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 42%, draw 24%, Tottenham 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.