Botev Vratsa 1-1 Cherno More Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 19 Jul 2026

📅19/07/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.5pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.07/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.81
+0% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -43%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cherno More Varna
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.02.2026 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 0-0 HT 0-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
29.08.2025 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 1-0 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
07.12.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 2-3 HT 2-2 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
12.08.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 2-1 HT 1-1 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
01.03.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 2-1 HT 1-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
01.09.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 0-1 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Vratsa and Cherno More Varna couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Botev Vratsa and 1.33 for Cherno More Varna.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna?

Botev Vratsa 1-1 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 19/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Vratsa win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 36%, draw 31%, Cherno More Varna 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Botev Vratsa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botev Vratsa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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