Harju Jalgpallikool 5-2 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 19 Jul 2026

📅19/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.2pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 48%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.53/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.35
+3% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.06.2026 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 HT 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
22.04.2026 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 2-2 HT 1-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
20.09.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 3-0 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
03.08.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 HT 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
17.05.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-2 HT 1-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
12.04.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-2 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
5-2
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
17 Total Shots 21
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Harju Jalgpallikool vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harju Jalgpallikool swept aside Paide Linnameeskond 5-2. Half-time: 5-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Harju Jalgpallikool made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 17-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Harju Jalgpallikool and 1.50 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of Harju Jalgpallikool vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Harju Jalgpallikool 5-2 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 19/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Harju Jalgpallikool 36%, draw 25%, Paide Linnameeskond 39%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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