Cliftonville 1-1 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 19 Aug 2025

📅19/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.69
4-5 Goals
17%
4.02
6+ Goals
7%
19.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 36% vs market 31.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.19
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.35
X/1
14%
4.82
X/2
12%
6.35
X/X
13%
4.11
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
13%
4.87
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.7pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +25%
1.46/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.08
+11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cliftonville
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Larne FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.01.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRLK
10.01.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
01.12.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
27.09.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 1-3 HT 1-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
13.04.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 8-1 HT 4-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
30.03.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 2-0 HT 1-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRK
POST-MATCH Cliftonville vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville and Larne FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cliftonville and 2.33 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Cliftonville vs Larne FC?

Cliftonville 1-1 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cliftonville vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cliftonville 38%, draw 30%, Larne FC 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cliftonville), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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