Portadown FC 0-2 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 19 Aug 2025

📅19/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.79
2-3 Goals
35%
1.7
4-5 Goals
23%
3.68
6+ Goals
8%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 34% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.4
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
18%
5.01
X/2
15%
5.74
X/X
14%
4.57
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
15%
4.19
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 37%
+12% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.08/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.00
-20% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portadown FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ballymena United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.04.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
22.02.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
01.11.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-3 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
28.09.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
07.04.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
11.02.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-0 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Portadown FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United saw off Portadown FC 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Ballymena United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portadown FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Portadown FC and 0.67 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Portadown FC vs Ballymena United?

Portadown FC 0-2 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portadown FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portadown FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Portadown FC 38%, draw 24%, Ballymena United 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Portadown FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portadown FC) ✓ Under 2.5
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