Atalanta U19 4-1 Arsenal U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.87
6+ Goals
10%
8.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.5pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta U19 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal U19 EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -57% / -57%
1.41/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/2.00
-8% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -82% / -33%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 83%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta U19
4-1
AWAY Arsenal U19
45% Ball Possession 55%
23 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atalanta U19 vs Arsenal U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta U19 swept aside Arsenal U19 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Arsenal U19 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atalanta U19 had 45% of the ball to Arsenal U19's 55%, shots finished 23-13.

What was the final score of Atalanta U19 vs Arsenal U19?

Atalanta U19 4-1 Arsenal U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta U19 vs Arsenal U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atalanta U19 32%, draw 25%, Arsenal U19 42%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arsenal U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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