Bologna U19 3-4 Shakhtar Donetsk U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.51
Over 2.5
47%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.43
No
52%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
5.43
2-3 Goals
39%
2.0
4-5 Goals
22%
2.67
6+ Goals
7%
6.52
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.43 — our 32% vs market 13.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.7pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.1pp
31%
Away Win
39%
-7.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
36%
+16.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
64%
-16.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
66%
-17.6pp
52%
BTTS No
34%
+17.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bologna U19 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk U19 EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 4.0
Crosses 2.0
Yellow Cards 2.5
POST-MATCH Bologna U19 vs Shakhtar Donetsk U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk U19 edged past Bologna U19 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Shakhtar Donetsk U19 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Bologna U19 vs Shakhtar Donetsk U19?

Bologna U19 3-4 Shakhtar Donetsk U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bologna U19 vs Shakhtar Donetsk U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Bologna U19 36%, draw 32%, Shakhtar Donetsk U19 31%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bologna U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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