Crvena Zvezda U19 1-2 Benfica U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.36
2-3 Goals
46%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.96
6+ Goals
9%
8.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+5.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-4.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crvena Zvezda U19 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica U19 EU Bookmakers 57%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.40
-22% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
Crosses 14.3
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crvena Zvezda U19
1-2
AWAY Benfica U19
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crvena Zvezda U19 vs Benfica U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U19 nicked a narrow win over Crvena Zvezda U19 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Benfica U19 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Crvena Zvezda U19 had 44% of the ball to Benfica U19's 56%, shots finished 10-21.

What was the final score of Crvena Zvezda U19 vs Benfica U19?

Crvena Zvezda U19 1-2 Benfica U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crvena Zvezda U19 vs Benfica U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Crvena Zvezda U19 29%, draw 22%, Benfica U19 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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