Monaco U19 4-3 Barcelona U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
49%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.5
2-3 Goals
44%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.91
6+ Goals
9%
8.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
20%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-3.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.9pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monaco U19 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona U19 EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monaco U19
4-3
AWAY Barcelona U19
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monaco U19 vs Barcelona U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monaco U19 nicked a narrow win over Barcelona U19 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Barcelona U19 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Monaco U19 had 39% of the ball to Barcelona U19's 61%, shots finished 12-18.

What was the final score of Monaco U19 vs Barcelona U19?

Monaco U19 4-3 Barcelona U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monaco U19 vs Barcelona U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Monaco U19 29%, draw 22%, Barcelona U19 49%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barcelona U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barcelona U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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