Brest U19 1-4 Sturm Graz U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.1pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brest U19 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz U19 EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brest U19
1-4
AWAY Sturm Graz U19
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Brest U19 vs Sturm Graz U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz U19 ran out comfortable winners over Brest U19 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sturm Graz U19 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Brest U19 had 44% of the ball to Sturm Graz U19's 56%, shots finished 8-14.

What was the final score of Brest U19 vs Sturm Graz U19?

Brest U19 1-4 Sturm Graz U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brest U19 vs Sturm Graz U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sturm Graz U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Brest U19 36%, draw 22%, Sturm Graz U19 42%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sturm Graz U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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