Atletico Madrid U19 4-0 RB Leipzig U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
28%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.4pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid U19 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig U19 EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.02/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/2.32
+22% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 80%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
11.0 Crosses 12.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid U19
4-0
AWAY RB Leipzig U19
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid U19 vs RB Leipzig U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid U19 ran out comfortable winners over RB Leipzig U19 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Madrid U19 as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Madrid U19 had 57% of the ball to RB Leipzig U19's 43%, shots finished 17-9.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid U19 vs RB Leipzig U19?

Atletico Madrid U19 4-0 RB Leipzig U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid U19 vs RB Leipzig U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid U19 58%, draw 22%, RB Leipzig U19 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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