Dinamo Tbilisi 2-1 Saburtalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
1.10/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.20
-2% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
258 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Saburtalo
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2025 Saburtalo 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
09.04.2025 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-2 HT 0-2 Saburtalo GUR
01.11.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 0-2 HT 0-2 Saburtalo GUR
25.08.2024 Saburtalo 3-0 HT 3-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
10.05.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 HT 1-0 Saburtalo GUR
15.03.2024 Saburtalo 1-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
2-1
AWAY Saburtalo
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Tbilisi vs Saburtalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Tbilisi squeezed past Saburtalo 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Dinamo Tbilisi made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dinamo Tbilisi had 41% of the ball to Saburtalo's 59%, shots finished 8-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.50 for Saburtalo.

What was the final score of Dinamo Tbilisi vs Saburtalo?

Dinamo Tbilisi 2-1 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Saburtalo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Tbilisi 37%, draw 27%, Saburtalo 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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