Saburtalo 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 20 May 2025

📅20/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.3pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.82/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.14
+37% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saburtalo
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.04.2025 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-2 HT 0-2 Saburtalo GUR
01.11.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 0-2 HT 0-2 Saburtalo GUR
25.08.2024 Saburtalo 3-0 HT 3-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
10.05.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 HT 1-0 Saburtalo GUR
15.03.2024 Saburtalo 1-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
02.12.2023 Saburtalo 0-3 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saburtalo
1-0
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs Dinamo Tbilisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo edged past Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Saburtalo had 53% of the ball to Dinamo Tbilisi's 47%, shots finished 9-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Saburtalo and 0.83 for Dinamo Tbilisi.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Saburtalo 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 20/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 46%, draw 27%, Dinamo Tbilisi 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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