19/09/2026
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
UD Oliveirense vs Penafiel Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
Unlock the full board
Create a free account and every market opens for every match — no limits. Every finished match is free to review.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
UD Oliveirense v Penafiel — Team-Based Signals
SIGNALS
Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
UD Oliveirense vs Penafiel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
UD Oliveirense
2W-3D-1L
AWAY
Penafiel
1.83
Avg Goals (FT)
1.50
1.40
xG
1.15
49%
Ball Possession
51%
10
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
222
Passes
258
73%
Pass Accuracy
76%
15
Crosses
18
1
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
PREVIEW
UD Oliveirense vs Penafiel
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW
There's a lean to Penafiel in the data, with more than enough uncertainty to keep this interesting.
Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UD Oliveirense have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for UD Oliveirense against 1.50 for Penafiel.
UD Oliveirense vs Penafiel Kick-off Time
UD Oliveirense play Penafiel in the Portugal - Cup on 19/09/2026, kick-off 19:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
UD Oliveirense vs Penafiel Match Prediction & Odds
Our model's prediction for UD Oliveirense vs Penafiel is an Penafiel win at about 45% probability, priced 2.04 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is UD Oliveirense 29%, draw 26%, Penafiel 45%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
POK
More Portugal - Cup
19 Sep 2026