Dagenham & Redbridge 4-0 AFC Fylde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
51%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.1
Over
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
26%
4.06
2-3
41%
1.85
4-5
23%
3.08
6+
10%
9.86
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.06 — our 26% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.85
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.95
X/1
15%
3.7
X/2
7%
12.15
X/X
15%
6.13
2/1
8%
21.85
2/2
7%
9.35
2/X
5%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Dagenham & Redbridge win — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.2pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.9pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Fylde The Market 20%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
2.02/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.98
+8% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
2W-2D-2L
AWAY AFC Fylde
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2023 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-1 HT 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
02.09.2023 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 3-1 HT 2-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
10.03.2020 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 1-2 HT 0-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
23.11.2019 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 3-0 HT 3-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
02.04.2019 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-1 HT 1-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
17.11.2018 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 2-1 HT 1-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
4-0
AWAY AFC Fylde
3 Total Shots 0
3 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
3 Passes 0
POST-MATCH Dagenham & Redbridge vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dagenham & Redbridge cruised past AFC Fylde 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dagenham & Redbridge as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 3-0.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dagenham & Redbridge and 1.50 for AFC Fylde.

What was the final score of Dagenham & Redbridge vs AFC Fylde?

Dagenham & Redbridge 4-0 AFC Fylde in the England - National League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dagenham & Redbridge vs AFC Fylde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dagenham & Redbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Dagenham & Redbridge 51%, draw 27%, AFC Fylde 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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