Rochdale 0-1 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 19 Oct 2024

Rochdale
0-1
Southend United
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Rochdale vs Southend United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.95
Over
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 ✓
31%
3.6
2-3
39%
1.81
4-5
21%
3.34
6+
9%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.6 — our 31% vs market 22.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.95
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
11%
4.84
X/2
11%
6.69
X/X
17%
4.82
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
14%
4.66
2/X
6%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.3pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rochdale v Southend United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United The Market 33%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.49/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.98
-3% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +46%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 184 · 64%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Rochdale vs Southend United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochdale
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Southend United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.57 xG 0.46
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
429 Passes 224
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Rochdale Rochdale 2-2 HT 2-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
31.08.2019 Southend United Southend United 0-3 HT 0-2 Rochdale Rochdale İN1
27.04.2019 Rochdale Rochdale 1-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İN1
22.12.2018 Southend United Southend United 1-2 HT 0-1 Rochdale Rochdale İN1
13.03.2018 Rochdale Rochdale 0-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İN1
02.09.2017 Southend United Southend United 0-0 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN1

Rochdale 0-1 Southend United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rochdale
0-1
AWAY Southend United
0 Total Shots 1
0 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 0
0 Passes 1
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United edged past Rochdale 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Southend United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 0-1.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rochdale had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rochdale and 0.50 for Southend United.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Southend United?

Rochdale 0-1 Southend United in the England - National League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 40%, draw 30%, Southend United 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rochdale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rochdale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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