Sutton United 1-3 Oldham Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.52
6+ Goals
8%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 32% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.63
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
10%
13.25
X/1
13%
5.42
X/2
13%
5.55
X/X
14%
4.71
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
15%
3.75
2/X
5%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.5pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
1.70/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.28
+18% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
177 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutton United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Oldham Athletic
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.09 xG 1.26
46% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
178 Passes 248
60% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.03.2022 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-3 HT 0-1 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
28.08.2021 Sutton United Sutton United 1-2 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sutton United
1-3
AWAY Oldham Athletic
0 Corners 0
0 Passes 3
POST-MATCH Sutton United vs Oldham Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic saw off Sutton United 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Oldham Athletic made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sutton United and 1.50 for Oldham Athletic.

What was the final score of Sutton United vs Oldham Athletic?

Sutton United 1-3 Oldham Athletic in the England - National League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutton United vs Oldham Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 38%, draw 28%, Oldham Athletic 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sutton United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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