AFC Hornchurch 0-0 Bath City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 19 Oct 2024

AFC Hornchurch
0-0
Bath City
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

AFC Hornchurch vs Bath City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.11
6+ Goals
8%
19.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 31% vs market 29.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AFC Hornchurch v Bath City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bath City EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
0.33/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.51
-77% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
POST-MATCH AFC Hornchurch vs Bath City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Hornchurch and Bath City fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Hornchurch at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

What was the final score of AFC Hornchurch vs Bath City?

AFC Hornchurch 0-0 Bath City in the England - Conference on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Hornchurch vs Bath City?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AFC Hornchurch 41%, draw 29%, Bath City 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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