Brackley Town 0-1 Radcliffe Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.66
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.3
6+ Goals
8%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.66 — our 27% vs market 22.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.27/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.66
-29% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brackley Town
0-1
AWAY Radcliffe Borough
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Brackley Town vs Radcliffe Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radcliffe Borough edged past Brackley Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Brackley Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Brackley Town had 62% of the ball to Radcliffe Borough's 38%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Brackley Town vs Radcliffe Borough?

Brackley Town 0-1 Radcliffe Borough in the England - Conference on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brackley Town vs Radcliffe Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Brackley Town 46%, draw 27%, Radcliffe Borough 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Brackley Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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