Eastbourne Borough 1-1 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.95
Over
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No Pick
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.56
2-3
40%
1.8
4-5
22%
3.37
6+
10%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.56 — our 28% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.0pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastbourne Borough The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United The Market 39%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
1.38/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.57
+5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastbourne Borough
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Torquay United
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2024 Torquay United Torquay United 2-2 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
28.11.2023 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 1-4 HT 0-2 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
09.12.2008 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 4-2 HT 1-1 Torquay United Torquay United İBSL
20.09.2008 Torquay United Torquay United 2-0 HT 1-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastbourne Borough
1-1
AWAY Torquay United
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Eastbourne Borough vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastbourne Borough and Torquay United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Eastbourne Borough had 50% of the ball to Torquay United's 50%, shots finished 6-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Torquay United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Eastbourne Borough and 2.50 for Torquay United.

What was the final score of Eastbourne Borough vs Torquay United?

Eastbourne Borough 1-1 Torquay United in the England - Conference on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastbourne Borough vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Eastbourne Borough 37%, draw 25%, Torquay United 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torquay United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torquay United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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