Needham Market 0-3 Kidderminster Harriers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
47%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.99
6+ Goals
9%
18.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.99 — our 25% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-8.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-7.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+7.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.3pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Needham Market EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 59%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.36/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.69
+14% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +49%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
198 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Needham Market
0-3
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Needham Market vs Kidderminster Harriers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kidderminster Harriers cruised past Needham Market 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kidderminster Harriers as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Needham Market had 51% of the ball to Kidderminster Harriers's 49%, shots finished 8-15.

What was the final score of Needham Market vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Needham Market 0-3 Kidderminster Harriers in the England - Conference on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Needham Market vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Needham Market 27%, draw 26%, Kidderminster Harriers 47%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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