South Shields 1-0 Leamington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.62
6+ Goals
9%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 29% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Shields EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Leamington EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
1.25/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.36
-18% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME South Shields
1-0
AWAY Leamington
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH South Shields vs Leamington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Shields edged past Leamington 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had South Shields as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, South Shields had 59% of the ball to Leamington's 41%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of South Shields vs Leamington?

South Shields 1-0 Leamington in the England - Conference on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Shields vs Leamington?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Shields win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split South Shields 45%, draw 25%, Leamington 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Shields), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (South Shields) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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