Warrington Town 0-2 Oxford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.16
2-3 Goals
35%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.52
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.16 — our 31% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-3.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.8pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford City EU Bookmakers 36%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
0.89/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.39
-41% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warrington Town
0-2
AWAY Oxford City
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Warrington Town vs Oxford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford City saw off Warrington Town 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Oxford City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Warrington Town had 55% of the ball to Oxford City's 45%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of Warrington Town vs Oxford City?

Warrington Town 0-2 Oxford City in the England - Conference on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warrington Town vs Oxford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Warrington Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Warrington Town 39%, draw 24%, Oxford City 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Warrington Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Warrington Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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