Weymouth 1-1 Chesham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 19 Oct 2024

Weymouth
1-1 HT 0-1
Chesham United
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Weymouth vs Chesham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.86
Over
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
27%
3.25
2-3
41%
1.78
4-5
22%
3.62
6+
10%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.25 — our 27% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-6.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Weymouth v Chesham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weymouth The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesham United The Market 51%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Weymouth vs Chesham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weymouth and Chesham United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chesham United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Weymouth vs Chesham United?

Weymouth 1-1 Chesham United in the England - Conference on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weymouth vs Chesham United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Weymouth 31%, draw 28%, Chesham United 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chesham United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chesham United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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