Newcastle United 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

Newcastle United
0-1
Brighton & Hove Albion
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.95
4-5 Goals
26%
2.76
6+ Goals
13%
7.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.18
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
14%
4.35
X/2
6%
9.39
X/X
12%
5.96
2/1 EV+
8%
20.6
2/2
12%
6.3
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newcastle United v Brighton & Hove Albion — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 26%
+7% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -14%
2.39/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.78
+26% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
36.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
20.1 Crosses 15.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.53 xG 1.29
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
286 Passes 454
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.05.2024 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-1 HT 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
02.09.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-1 HT 1-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
18.05.2023 Newcastle United Newcastle United 4-1 HT 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
13.08.2022 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
05.03.2022 Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-1 HT 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
06.11.2021 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 HT 1-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP

Newcastle United 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle United
0-1
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
448 Passes 294
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
POST-MATCH Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion edged past Newcastle United 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Newcastle United at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Newcastle United had 60% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion's 40%, shots finished 21-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Newcastle United and 1.17 for Brighton & Hove Albion.

What was the final score of Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Newcastle United 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion in the England - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United 54%, draw 23%, Brighton & Hove Albion 23%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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