Cercle Brugge 2-2 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
52%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5 Pick
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
31%
-6.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
52%
Away Win
43%
+8.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.7pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +15%
1.19/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.36
-25% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
20.7 Crosses 18.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cercle Brugge
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Genk
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.53 xG 2.03
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
186 Passes 369
60% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Genk Genk 2-1 HT 2-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
14.09.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-3 HT 2-2 Genk Genk BEL
04.05.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 4-1 HT 3-1 Genk Genk BEL
13.04.2024 Genk Genk 1-1 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
20.01.2024 Genk Genk 1-1 HT 0-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
13.08.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-1 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cercle Brugge
2-2
AWAY Genk
2.85 xG 1.78
36% Ball Possession 64%
18 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
290 Passes 531
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 32
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cercle Brugge and Genk couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Genk at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Cercle Brugge had 36% of the ball to Genk's 64%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 2.85 to 1.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cercle Brugge and 1.50 for Genk.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs Genk?

Cercle Brugge 2-2 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 25%, draw 23%, Genk 52%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Genk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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