Aguilas Doradas vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aguilas Doradas v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
Aguilas Doradas vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
1-1
HT 1-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
Aguilas Doradas 1-0 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
Aguilas Doradas squeezed past Alianza Petrolera 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aguilas Doradas as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 60% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 40%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.92 to 0.44.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 1.33 for Alianza Petrolera.
What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Alianza Petrolera?
Aguilas Doradas 1-0 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Alianza Petrolera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 42%, draw 27%, Alianza Petrolera 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.