Junior 3-2 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
17%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
57%
+2.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
17%
Away Win
19%
-2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.45/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.10
+12% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
17.7 Crosses 13.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.24 xG 0.88
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
331 Passes 290
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2025 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-0 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
21.10.2024 Junior Junior 3-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
23.05.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
20.05.2024 Junior Junior 2-3 HT 1-3 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
26.02.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 3-3 HT 0-2 Junior Junior KOL
26.10.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-2 HT 0-1 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
3-2
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
2.46 xG 1.32
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
338 Passes 230
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 15
9 Crosses 15
7 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Junior vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior edged past Deportivo Pereira 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Junior as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Junior had 58% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 42%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 2.46 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Junior and 1.33 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of Junior vs Deportivo Pereira?

Junior 3-2 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Junior 59%, draw 24%, Deportivo Pereira 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Junior) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Junior) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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