CA River Plate 1-1 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.6pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.21/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.24
+10% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
259 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA River Plate
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Cerro Largo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.07.2025 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-2 HT 1-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
19.04.2025 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
09.11.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
05.05.2024 CA River Plate CA River Plate 2-3 HT 2-2 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
19.08.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
05.02.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-1 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA River Plate
1-1
AWAY Cerro Largo
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CA River Plate vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA River Plate and Cerro Largo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, CA River Plate had 54% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 46%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CA River Plate and 1.50 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of CA River Plate vs Cerro Largo?

CA River Plate 1-1 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 33%, draw 28%, Cerro Largo 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cerro Largo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Largo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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