Nacional de Football 3-1 Miramar Misiones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.3
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
12%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
72%
-2.1pp
18%
Draw
17%
+0.6pp
12%
Away Win
10%
+1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
2.34/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.35
+34% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -22%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
477 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional de Football
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Miramar Misiones
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.06.2025 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 0-2 HT 0-2 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
18.04.2025 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 1-3 HT 1-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
18.10.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 5-1 HT 1-1 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
20.07.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 4-0 HT 1-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
17.04.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 1-2 HT 1-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
10.05.2014 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-0 HT 1-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional de Football
3-1
AWAY Miramar Misiones
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nacional de Football vs Miramar Misiones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football saw off Miramar Misiones 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Nacional de Football had 58% of the ball to Miramar Misiones's 42%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Nacional de Football and 0.50 for Miramar Misiones.

What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Miramar Misiones?

Nacional de Football 3-1 Miramar Misiones in the Uruguay - Premier League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Miramar Misiones?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 70%, draw 18%, Miramar Misiones 12%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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