Kapaz 0-2 Turan Tovuz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 19 Dec 2025

📅19/12/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.65
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
56%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
4%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
19%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
56%
Away Win
56%
+0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapaz EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 60%
+9% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.28/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.52
+43% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +61%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
258 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapaz
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Turan Tovuz
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
28.09.2025 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 3-0 HT 2-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
19.01.2025 Kapaz Kapaz 5-2 HT 2-2 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
25.10.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-1 HT 1-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
17.08.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 0-3 HT 0-2 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
22.01.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 2-1 HT 1-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
28.10.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 4-0 HT 1-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
POST-MATCH Kapaz vs Turan Tovuz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turan Tovuz beat Kapaz 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Turan Tovuz as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Turan Tovuz led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kapaz and 2.50 for Turan Tovuz.

What was the final score of Kapaz vs Turan Tovuz?

Kapaz 0-2 Turan Tovuz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 19/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapaz vs Turan Tovuz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Kapaz 18%, draw 26%, Turan Tovuz 56%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Turan Tovuz), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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