NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961 Prediction — Model Probabilities
NK Varazdin v Istra 1961 — Team-Based Signals
NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
NK Varazdin 1-3 Istra 1961 — Actual Match Statistics
Istra 1961 saw off NK Varazdin 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
From a near-even 39% / 32% / 29% read, it was Istra 1961 who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: possession split 55% to 45% in NK Varazdin's favour, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 2.26 to 1.08 — by the quality of chances, NK Varazdin deserved more.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Istra 1961 led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.17 a game for NK Varazdin against 0.50 for Istra 1961.
NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961 Result & Final Score
NK Varazdin 1 - 3 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 19/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961 Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a NK Varazdin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 39%, draw 32%, Istra 1961 29%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.