Darmstadt 98 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.02
6+ Goals
11%
18.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.38
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
26.5
1/X
6%
14.15
X/1
8%
6.96
X/2
17%
4.38
X/X
11%
4.36
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
17%
2.81
2/X
10%
13.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.5 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 49%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.28/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.19
-27% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 80%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
18.7 Crosses 21.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darmstadt 98
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.39 xG 2.15
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
185 Passes 485
62% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
20.08.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 HT 1-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
07.02.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 4-2 HT 2-2 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AFK
05.02.2017 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
10.09.2016 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-0 HT 0-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
30.04.2016 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-2 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
06.12.2015 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 0-1 HT 0-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darmstadt 98
2-2
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
1.15 xG 1.29
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
458 Passes 494
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs Eintracht Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darmstadt 98 and Eintracht Frankfurt shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Eintracht Frankfurt at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Darmstadt 98 had 49% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt's 51%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.15 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eintracht Frankfurt led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Darmstadt 98 and 1.50 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Darmstadt 98 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt in the Germany - Bundesliga on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eintracht Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 29%, draw 27%, Eintracht Frankfurt 44%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL1 More Germany - Bundesliga
20 Jan 2024
17:30 Freiburg vs Hoffenheim Analysis →
17:30 Heidenheim vs Wolfsburg Analysis →
17:30 Köln vs Borussia Dortmund Analysis →
17:30 Bochum vs Stuttgart Analysis →
20:30 RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen Analysis →