APOEL Nicosia 0-2 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 20 Feb 2025

📅20/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.09
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.55 — our 25% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.26
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.1
X/1
24%
4.21
X/2
9%
9.28
X/X
10%
4.84
2/1
6%
24.3
2/2
10%
7.55
2/X
10%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APOEL Nicosia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 24%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-20% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
383 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APOEL Nicosia
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Celje
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.91 xG 1.27
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
260 Passes 412
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
13.02.2025 Celje Celje 2-2 HT 1-1 APOEL Nicosia APOEL Nicosia AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME APOEL Nicosia
0-2
AWAY Celje
0.28 xG 1.93
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
303 Passes 295
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 37
21 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH APOEL Nicosia vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje got the better of APOEL Nicosia 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was APOEL Nicosia at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, APOEL Nicosia had 51% of the ball to Celje's 49%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.28 to 1.93.

What was the final score of APOEL Nicosia vs Celje?

APOEL Nicosia 0-2 Celje in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 20/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APOEL Nicosia vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated a APOEL Nicosia win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split APOEL Nicosia 51%, draw 25%, Celje 24%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (APOEL Nicosia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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