Heidenheim 1-3 FC Copenhagen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 20 Feb 2025

📅20/02/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.44
6+ Goals
11%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 27% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.17
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
13%
6.08
X/2
10%
5.34
X/X
14%
4.63
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
18%
3.41
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidenheim EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Copenhagen EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -81% / -39%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
Crosses 17.3
Yellow Cards 4.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidenheim
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Copenhagen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.20 xG 1.96
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
283 Passes 478
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 36
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
13.02.2025 FC Copenhagen 1-2 HT 1-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heidenheim
1-3
AWAY FC Copenhagen
1.84 xG 2.48
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
551 Passes 346
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
38 Box Touches 28
25 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Heidenheim vs FC Copenhagen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Copenhagen beat Heidenheim 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day FC Copenhagen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Heidenheim had 59% of the ball to FC Copenhagen's 41%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 1.84 to 2.48.

What was the final score of Heidenheim vs FC Copenhagen?

Heidenheim 1-3 FC Copenhagen in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 20/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidenheim vs FC Copenhagen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heidenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Heidenheim 37%, draw 28%, FC Copenhagen 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Heidenheim), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Heidenheim) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVKL More UEFA Europa Conference League
20 Feb 2025
20:45 Olimpija Ljubljana vs Borac Banja Luka Analysis →
20:45 Real Betis vs Gent Analysis →
20:45 Pafos vs Omonia Nicosia Analysis →
23:00 Shamrock Rovers vs Molde Analysis →
23:00 Panathinaikos vs Vikingur R. Analysis →
23:00 APOEL Nicosia vs Celje Analysis →