Panathinaikos 2-0 Vikingur R. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 20 Feb 2025

📅20/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.28
Draw
24%
5.28
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.51
Over 2.5
48%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.21
2-3 Goals
37%
1.97
4-5 Goals
26%
2.59
6+ Goals
10%
6.22
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.21 — our 27% vs market 13.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.41
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
23.0
X/1
19%
3.8
X/2
5%
21.7
X/X
10%
8.89
2/1
5%
21.4
2/2
6%
18.55
2/X
6%
27.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
74%
-15.8pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.6pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
36%
+15.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
64%
-15.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 12%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.73/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.89
+9% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -81% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 79%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
18.5 Crosses 15.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vikingur R.
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.93 xG 1.64
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
488 Passes 221
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
41 Box Touches 22
31 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
13.02.2025 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-1 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
2-0
AWAY Vikingur R.
0.66 xG 0.45
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
480 Passes 239
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
43 Box Touches 13
33 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Vikingur R.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos saw off Vikingur R. 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 64% of the ball to Vikingur R.'s 36%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 0.66 to 0.45.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Vikingur R.?

Panathinaikos 2-0 Vikingur R. in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 20/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Vikingur R.?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 58%, draw 24%, Vikingur R. 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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